Uncertainty in Commercial Law
| Published date | 01 January 2009 |
| Date | 01 January 2009 |
| Author | Iain MacNeil |
| Pages | 68-99 |
| DOI | 10.3366/E1364980908000966 |
Considerable attention has recently been devoted to examining the relationship between law and uncertain future events. Particularly prominent in that debate has been the role of law in managing and allocating risk. In the field of contract and commercial law there now exists an extensive literature examining the incomplete nature of contracts and the extent to which contracting parties rely on mechanisms other than law in dealing with contingency. Within that literature, the focus is primarily on uncertainty arising from the unpredictability of events or developments that lie in the future. Much less attention has focused on the problem of legal uncertainty.
This article attempts to develop a working definition of legal uncertainty and to examine its effect in commercial law. It is based on the premise that lawyers in the commercial world have to deal with and contract around not only future contingencies but also legal uncertainty. The article attempts to explain why uncertainty may persist over relatively long periods of time in commercial law, despite the perceived need for legal certainty to facilitate commercial transactions. It also attempts to explain, both in general terms and by reference to specific examples, how uncertainty can be limited or removed. Underlying much of the discussion is the argument that there is a close link between the effectiveness of responses to uncertainty and the persistence of uncertainty over time.
It is often said that business activity is facilitated by legal certainty.
See e.g. L S Sealy and R J A Hooley,
In this sense, legal certainty is not directly concerned with the substance of the law, a point made by Lord Mansfield in
See generally R Goode, “The philosophy and concepts of commercial law” (1988) 14
In some instances, predictability has been characterised as serving legal advisers as much as persons subject to the law. See e.g.
Legal uncertainty differs from legal risk in that the latter focuses on the chances of being sued or being the subject of a claim or the possibility that a technical defect in a transaction will result in loss.
See e.g. R McCormick,
One explanation of how this may occur is offered in B.(5) below.
See S Waddams,
For discussion of how this may operate when courts choose to distinguish or “not follow” previous authority, see R H S Tur, “Time and law” (2002) 22 OJLS 463.
[1897] AC 22, discussed at F. (1) below.
Similarly, the decision of the Court of Appeal in
The growth of securitisation in recent years is an example of such a process.
The second form of uncertainty occurs when a “settled view” of the law is subsequently changed by the courts.
Subsequent change effected by statute does not pose a risk as legislation does not have retrospective effect.
Although this happens only infrequently,A modern example is
In
The significance of legal certainty, and the cause of much of the debate as to the extent to which it is achieved,
See e.g. K Kress, “Legal indeterminacy” (1989) 77 Cal L Rev 283.
lies in its link with legitimacy. Kress explains that link in the following terms:Kress (
Indeterminacy matters because legitimacy matters. Many legal scholars hold that the legitimacy of judicial decision-making depends upon judges applying the law and not creating their own. They claim that judicial decisions are legitimate only if judges are constrained either completely or within narrow bounds.
See e.g. A Halpin,
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