(continued from page 1002)

Date01 December 1971
Published date01 December 1971
DOI10.1177/004711787100301206
Subject MatterArticles
1013
defence
planners.
But
it is
not
possible
to
remove
those
imponder-
ables
or
to
make
our
analytical
framework
for
thinking
about
threats
very
much
more
rigorous.
Ultimately,
threat
analysis
is
an
intuitive
business,
and
the
finely
tuned
hunches
and
feelings
of
foreign
policy
specialists
are
probably
more
important
than
anything
else.
*
*
*
*
*
(continued
from
page
1002)
that:
(1)
each
nation
reaffirm
its
intention
to
live
up
to
its
inter-
national
obligations
by
consenting
to
allow
the
International
Committee
of
the
Red
Cross
to
supervise
persons
judged
to
be
members
of
&dquo;irregular&dquo;
or
non-governmental
forces
in
their
treatment
according
to
Article
3 of
the
Geneva
Civilians
Conven-
tion;37
(2)
endorse
suggestions
for
strengthening
the
International
Committee
of
the
Red
Cross
and
establishing
a
new
international
organization
and
(3)
create
an
International
Criminal
Court
to
try
offenses
against
international
law
whether
committed
by
regular
or
&dquo;irregular&dquo;
forces.
The
first
step
should
be
the
holding
of
an
International
Conference
of
Experts
to
define
guidelines
and
procedures
to
be
followed.&dquo;
37
This
may
be
in
the
form
of
a
declaration
of
state
or
resolution
by
pertinent
legislative
or
judicial
institutions.
38
Such
a
conference
is
now
in
its
planning
phases
co-sponsored
by
the
Foundation
for
the
Establishment
of
an
International
Criminal
Court
and
the
Johnson
Foundation
of
Racine,
Wisconsin.

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