Not Home Alone

Published date01 December 2001
Date01 December 2001
AuthorJames Fergusson
DOI10.1177/002070200105600408
Subject MatterArticle
JAMES
FERGUSSON
Not
home
alone
Canada
and
ballistic
missile defence
THE
SIMPLE
AND
STRAIGHTFORWARD
ANSWER
to
the question
of
Canadian
participation
in
national
missile
defence
(NMD)
is
in.
The
more
difficult
policy
issue
for
Canada
is
the
means
or
optics
through
which
Canada
will
express
its
willingness
to
participate
and
the
impli-
cations
of
being
in
relative
to
other
issues
concerning
Canadian
defence
policy. An
expression
of
Canadian
support,
which
would open
the door
to
participation,
will
likely follow two
important
decisions. First,
the
members
of
the
North
Atlantic
Treaty
Organization
(NATO)
will
shift
their
position
to
that
of
at
least
benign
acceptance
of
United
States mis-
sile
defence
plans.
Preferably,
NATO
will
come
around
to
supporting
a
limited
United
States
missile
system for
North
America
after
the
administration
of
George
W
Bush
merges
national
and
theatre
missile
defence
(TMD)
programmes into
a
single
global
effort
and
offers
it
to
allies,
friends,
clients,
and
potentially
Russia
and
perhaps
China.
Second,
Russia
will
agree,
at
a
minimum,
to
revise
the
Anti-Ballistic
Missile
(ABM)
Treaty
to
permit
such
a
system,
and/or
agree
to
some form
of
interim
agreed
position
pending
a
significant
restructuring
of
the
arms
control
regime
for
strategic
weapons
in
which
offensive
and
defen-
sive
systems
are
merged
into
a
single
package.
Ideally
for
Canadian
pol-
icy-makers,
agreed
revisions
or
a
new
arms
control
package
will
be
accompanied
by
signs
of
direct co-operation
between
the
United
States
and
Russia
on
missile
defence
that
builds
on
the
current
United
States-
Russian
Joint
Early
Warning
Programme
and
the
article in
the
NATO-
Deputy
Director,
Centre
for
Defence
and
Security
Studies, University
ofManitoba.
This
article
is
drawn
from
previously
published
works
on
Canada
and
ballistic
missile
defence
and
is
part
of
a
much
large
research
project
that
compares
Canadian
policy
on
ABM,
SDI,
and
NMD.
INTERNATIONAL
JOURNAL
Autumn
2001

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